Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.060112e-05 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077 0.000088 0.000100 0.000113
2025-01-19 3.809626e-05 0.000048 0.000060 0.000074 0.000090 0.000109 0.000130
2025-01-26 3.010059e-05 0.000041 0.000055 0.000072 0.000093 0.000117 0.000146
2025-02-02 2.603633e-05 0.000038 0.000054 0.000074 0.000099 0.000129 0.000167
2025-02-09 2.197863e-05 0.000035 0.000051 0.000074 0.000103 0.000138 0.000184
2025-02-16 2.033947e-05 0.000034 0.000052 0.000078 0.000111 0.000153 0.000208
2025-02-23 1.742957e-05 0.000031 0.000050 0.000077 0.000114 0.000161 0.000223
2025-03-02 1.420546e-05 0.000027 0.000046 0.000074 0.000113 0.000163 0.000231
2025-03-09 1.190894e-05 0.000024 0.000043 0.000072 0.000113 0.000167 0.000241
2025-03-16 1.006657e-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000070 0.000114 0.000171 0.000252
2025-03-23 8.684868e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000070 0.000115 0.000177 0.000265
2025-03-30 7.608796e-06 0.000019 0.000038 0.000070 0.000118 0.000184 0.000279
2025-04-06 6.103533e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000068 0.000118 0.000189 0.000291
2025-04-13 4.689549e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000065 0.000117 0.000191 0.000300
2025-04-20 3.677909e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000063 0.000117 0.000195 0.000312
2025-04-27 3.246076e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000065 0.000122 0.000207 0.000335
2025-05-04 2.671097e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000064 0.000124 0.000215 0.000352
2025-05-11 2.529908e-06 0.000011 0.000030 0.000068 0.000133 0.000232 0.000383
2025-05-18 2.063485e-06 0.000010 0.000029 0.000067 0.000135 0.000239 0.000399
2025-05-25 1.516770e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000065 0.000133 0.000239 0.000406
2025-06-01 1.155168e-06 0.000007 0.000025 0.000063 0.000132 0.000243 0.000417
2025-06-08 8.810103e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000062 0.000133 0.000247 0.000430
2025-06-15 6.898086e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000061 0.000134 0.000253 0.000445